Category Archives: International Investing

Is Google Still a Good Investment in 2012?

google-dollars

Google is a good buy for many reasons.  Let me explain each one.  Here are 8 good ones:

1.  The classic “buy low sell high” mantra applies.  Google is quite cheap in terms of P/E.  I don’t think I need to explain more there.

2.  Google renewed their China licence.  That means they are finally smartening up and learning to work with different governments instead of trying unsuccessfully to force their ideals down the throats of other nations.  I’m living in China and can see that this is a very smart business decision.  It’s not exactly how Google wants things but at least they are trying to negotiate and play ball instead of being out of the China game.

3.   Their Android play is going nuts.   Android is one of the fastest growing search terms of something that is already highly searched.  Check out Google Trends and search for Android and look at the graph.  Compare it to almost anything.  Apple is considered greedy but Google takes the same cut as Itunes for App sales.  Huge money..

Top 10 Stock Picks for 2012

2012 stock picks

I know it’s not yet 2012 and it may seem that I’m jumping the gun a bit, but here are what I truly believe to be the 10 best stock picks for the year 2012.

I believe a good portfolio really needs good diversification to hedge against possible unforeseen circumstances.  I like different currencies, companies that invest heavily internationally, companies with massive growth potential, large stable dividend paying stocks, etc.

I like the tech sector for 2012 but I’m not just going to pick 10 stocks from my favorite sector because I like to hedge a little.  Leave a little room for the uncertainty of this crazy world we live in.  If you hold onto all 10 of these stocks for the full year, I think you’ll be happy.  I have them all so we’ll be in this together.  In no particular order, here are my 10 picks:  

Invest in China 2011 and 2012

Invest in China

Every American or non Chinese investor knows and understands that China is growing incredibly fast.

Savvy investors understandably want to know what are the best ways to invest in China or even how to invest in China.

We’re in the 3rd quarter of 2011 and looking forward to 2012.  I have some answers that are very valuable and may actually surprise you about the best ways to go about this.

I should mention that I’m a westerner who has been living in Shanghai for the past 9 years.  I’ve been all over the country and I read and speak Chinese.  I feel that I know what is going on here a lot more than the people on wall street.  It’s not because I’m on an ego trip.  I’m actually living here and dealing with this country everyday.  As an investor, I’m going to be as objective as I can possibly be.

Why SINA is a Bad Investment

Sina logo 2

I live in China and people often ask me, “Is Sina a good investment?”

The truth is that Sina is really not a good investment in my honest opinion.  I’ll tell you the pros and cons of this stock. It’s basically a list of cons so don’t get your hopes up if you are looking for pros.

Go to www.sina.com and click on the country you are from.  The whole site looks shockingly junkie and there are messy ads everywhere.  This isn’t “Chinese” taste.  It’s just pretty pathetic and only works because they were at the right place at the right time early on.  Companies can coast on that only for so long…..

The Internet Bubble in China

Chinese Internet Stocks

Is there an internet bubble brewing in China? Should you invest in youkou.com? Is it a good idea to invest in Sina.com? Should you invest in Tudou.com? What about investing in renren.com, the supposed “Facebook of China”? I’m going to say no and I’ll tell you why…

First of all, let me ask you a question, have you ever used any of these sites or do you have a clue about what is good or bad about each of them? Do you know what real Chinese people think of them? My guess is no and that’s the truth for most of the investors in these companies. That’s scary and makes for an easy breading ground to blindly lead naive investors with simple reasoning:

Is Now the Right Time to Invest in Starbucks?

Starbucks logo

We’re human.  It’s emotionally difficult to invest in a company that has gone up a lot in value during the past year or so. Smart investors, however, should leave their emotions at the door, (I know you’ve heard that before).  All investors I know take at least a peak at a stock’s recent performance before they buy it.  If a stock has gone up a lot, it’s easy to be thinking “coulda, woulda, shoulda”…

I always find it strange, stupid actually, when I hear financial advisers on TV say things about a stock like, “If you already own it and it’s gone up a lot in value, maybe you should sell it and lock in some of those profits.  There still seems to be a big upside though so if you don’t own it, you might want to consider getting it”.  That line of reasoning makes no logical sense at all.  It appeals to the emotions and those aren’t the friends of the smart investor.

Why the Global Economy WILL Recover

World Economy

The global economy will recover because it has to.  It’s in no country’s best interest for the world to have a weak economy forever.

The reason that the recovery is taking so long is that there is no agreed upon plan of attack.  The recovery is in everyone’s best interest, but the best method for the recovery certainly is different depending on who you ask.   Politicians within each country can’t agree so imagine how sticky the whole thing gets when you’ve got different countries, with different interests, with different languages, with different cultures, with different problems, and with different political systems… 

Biggest International Investing Myth

international investing

Everyone who isn’t living under a rock knows that the “developing world” is absolutely booming.  People want to invest money in that and so they should.

Here’s the myth:  They figure buying local companies from that country must be the way to go.  Of course they don’t know much about these local companies so they hedge their bets by buying the country’s ETF (Exchange traded fund).  An even worse move is to buy a mutual fund that “specializes” in that country because of all the fees the fund managers take. People don’t realize that many of these companies are corrupt and the stock markets aren’t mature.  That’s not always the case but it often is.  It’s not the only way to get a piece of the action either.

Something Investors Should Know but Probably Don’t

Confused Investor

Even if you only invest in American companies, a lot of your money is being invested overseas.  This is a good thing but it’s important to have a concept for how big those international markets are if you want to be able to judge for yourself which companies have their acts together and which ones don’t.  Some companies really see the big picture and some don’t.  It’s not all about P/E ratios.  You need to think ahead and I’m going to provide some numbers for you that will make this easier.

Everyone “knows” that the world is growing and changing but I feel the media, and therefor most people, still underestimate the significance.  In the past 90 days, India sold over 60 million cell phones.  In 2010, China’s year over year car sales went up over 45% to overtake the US as the world’s biggest car market in terms of number of cars sold.  Those are just astonishing numbers and they still have a ton of room to grow much bigger.  I’m living in Shanghai, and have been for 9 years now.  I can see with my very own eyes all the changes that are going on.